The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Nassim Nicholas Taleb The Black Swan The impNassim Nicholas Taleb The Black Swan The impact of the highly improbable Now _ 15,- They are unpredictable, they have a huge impact . and in retrospect we try to make them plausible and predictable. Black Swans are chance events that determine our lives, from bestsellers to global disasters. Harry Potter was a Black Swan, the internet was one, and so was September 11. Why do we only recognize Black Swans in retrospect? Because humans see details, not generalities. We focus on what we already know and repeatedly forget to consider what we don't know. In this exciting international bestseller, Nassim Nicholas Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know. He offers surprisingly simple insights into how to benefit from Black Swans. The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. It teaches you to put predictions and advice into perspective (and often ignore them), to think critically and to be ready to act quickly. 'Beautiful book.' - Het Financieele Dagblad 'A profoundly intelligent and provocative book.' - The Economist After a career on Wall Street as a successful trader, Nassim Nicholas Taleb is now taking it easy as a philosopher, essayist, predictor of the credit crisis and professor of risk analysis at New York University. He also published On robustness - Further philosophical and empirical reflections on The Black Swan, and Misled by chance. act of the highly improbable Now _ 15,- They are unpredictable, they have a gigantic impact. and in retrospect we try to make them plausible and predictable. Black Swans are coincidental events that determine our lives, from bestsellers to global disasters. Harry Potter was a Black Swan, the internet was one, and so was September 11. Why do we only recognize Black Swans in retrospect? Because people see details, not generalities. We focus on what we already know and repeatedly forget to consider what we don't know. In this thrilling international bestseller, Nassim Nicholas Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know. He offers surprisingly simple insights into how to profit from Black Swans. The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. It teaches you to put predictions and advice into perspective (and often ignore them), to think critically and to be ready to act quickly. 'A beautiful book.' - Het Financieele Dagblad 'A profoundly intelligent and provocative book.' - The Economist After a career on Wall Street as a successful trader, Nassim Nicholas Taleb is now taking it easy as a philosopher, essayist, predictor of the credit crisis and professor of risk analysis at New York University. He has also published On robustness - Further philosophical and empirical reflections on The Black Swan, and Misled by chance, with Nieuwezijds.